Integrative modeling lab on agricultural adaptation in North Germany

IMLAND Landwirtschaft 3500x1400

Foto: Fotolia/Gudellaphoto


Changing climate conditions might increase the vulnerability of agriculture in the Lüneburg Heath due to the sandy soils and irrigation-dependency.

System Dynamics as the main tool to describe and analyze the actual state of the agricultural systems in the Lüneburg Heath.
Participatory approach, and thus inclusion of stakeholders from various sectors in the model building.
Crop management simulations with biophysical process model EPIC.

Aims and objectives

The main objectives of the project are:

  • A qualitative and quantitative assessment of agricultural systems in the Lüneburg Heath
  • Evaluation of possible adaption strategies including ecologic, economic and social measures
  • Model-based estimation of agricultural greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions
  • Development of tools to support stakeholders: 1. Farmers: decision-support for adaption while limiting the impact on climate change. 2. Policy makers: cost-effective monitoring of agricultural GHG emissions

Project staff

Principal Investigators
Prof. Dr. Uwe Schneider, Universität Hamburg
Dr. María Máñez Costa, Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS)

Dr. Sabine Egerer

PhD Students
Andrea C. Fajardo Puente
Rodrigo Valencia